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Projection β€” illustrative scenario

Document back-office and written output

The easiest gain to obtain, the hardest to bank

120 staff spending a quarter of their time on professional writing: minutes, notes, standard replies, summaries. A deliberately conservative model, with an explicit redeployment rate.

Modelled yearly gain
€186k – €421k

modelled yearly gain

Payback
3.4 to 7.7 months
Over 3 years
€328k to €1.03M net over 3 years
The context

One hundred and twenty support-function staff spend roughly a quarter of their time producing professional writing: minutes, briefing notes, standard letters, replies to internal requests, documentation. A controlled experiment published in Science measured the effect of a generative assistant on exactly that kind of task, across several hundred college-educated professionals.

What gets put in place
  • Drafting assistance for structured, recurring documents, based on in-house templates
  • Summarisation of long documents and meeting minutes
  • Professional rewriting and translation without going through a vendor
  • Information extraction across internal document corpora
Model assumptions

Everything on the table

Headcount in scope
120 staff Γ— 1,500 h = 180,000 h/year
Share of time spent on professional writing
25% β†’ 45,000 h
Share of that writing genuinely comparable to the tasks tested (haircut)
50% β†’ 22,500 eligible hours
Loaded hourly cost
€55/h
Year 1 investment (licences, integration, templates, training)
€120,000
Annual running cost in later years
€55,000/year
The model

Three scenarios, not one number

ParameterConservativeCentralHigh
Writing-time reduction appliedβˆ’25%βˆ’35%βˆ’40%
Hours freed5,625 h7,875 h9,000 h
Share of freed hours genuinely redeployed to value60%75%85%
Hours valued3,375 h5,906 h7,650 h
Yearly gain€186k€325k€421k
Payback period7.7 months4.4 months3.4 months
Net cumulative gain over 3 years€328k€745k€1,033k
Two successive haircuts, deliberately. The first removes writing that does not resemble the tasks measured in the study. The second β€” unusual in this kind of calculation β€” recognises that an hour saved is not automatically a productive hour: without a management decision, part of the time gained shows up nowhere in the P&L.
Limits and blind spots
  • This is where the gap between theoretical and banked gain is widest. Time handed back to people who are already under-loaded appears in no P&L.
  • The study covers short, self-contained writing tasks. A document that requires cross-referencing internal sources, committing the company or meeting a regulatory formalism falls outside that scope.
  • The measured quality gain benefits the least confident writers most. On a team of expert writers, expect a real time gain but a weak quality gain β€” negative if review discipline slips.
  • Any data leaving the information system needs an approved usage framework β€” confidentiality, trade secrets, personal data. That point drives the schedule more often than the technology does.
Success conditions
  • In-house templates: the value comes from grounding in your formats, not from a generic tool.
  • An explicit decision by managers, before rollout, on how the freed time is used.
  • A clear review rule scaled to how far each document commits the company.
  • A written usage policy and a list of documents that never go through an external tool.
Tracking indicators
Average turnaround on recurring documentsDocument volume produced at constant headcountActual usage rate by departmentNumber of documents sent back for rework

What these scenarios are, and what they are not

These are models, built for illustration on public sector benchmarks. They are not results observed at Cardan-AI clients, and they constitute no commitment as to outcome. The improvement rates come from the studies cited; the choice of assumptions, the scope haircuts and the arithmetic are Cardan-AI's, and are shown in full so they can be challenged. Transposed to your organisation, these orders of magnitude can vary widely β€” in both directions.

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